Slip and fall injuries represent a significant burden to the Canadian general public and healthcare system; the annual financial cost of these accidents in Canada is estimated to be $2 billion (2014). Interestingly, slip and fall accidents are not evenly distributed across the provinces, with the rate of hospitalization due to falls in Alberta being nearly three times greater than the rate in Ontario. Our research aim was to create the Alberta Slip and Fall Index (ASFI) – a simple scale like the UV or Air Quality index – that could be used to warn the general public about the presence of slippery conditions. The ASFI could be paired with interventions proven to prevent outdoor slips and falls, like promoting the use of ice cleats.

Eleven years (January 2008 - December 2018) of emergency room presentations to the four adult hospitals in Calgary, Alberta were filtered based on the ICD-10 diagnostic code W00 (slip and fall due to ice and snow). Multivariable dispersion-corrected Poisson regression models were used to analyze the weather conditions and time of year most predictive of slip and fall injuries. A slip and fall risk calculator (the ASFI) was designed using output from statistical modelling. To validate the ASFI we compared model predicted slip and fall risk to real presentations using retrospective weather and patient data.

The final dataset included 14,977 slip and fall incidents. The three months with the most emergency room presentations were January(n = 3591), February(n = 2997), and March(n = 2954); each of these predicted increased slip and fall accidents(p < 0 .001). Same day ice was significantly associated with more slip and fall accidents, as was the presence of ice one, two, and three days prior(p < 0 .001). Snow one day prior was mildly protective against slip and fall accidents, but this effect was not significant(p = 0.861). Snow, ice, and time of year variables can be input into the ASFI calculator, which computes the likelihood of slip and fall accidents on a 0-40 point scale, with 40 indicating maximum fall risk. Upon validation of the ASFI, we generally found days with the highest raw frequency of slip and fall accidents had higher ASFI scores. Although the ASFI can theoretically result in a score of 40, when we entered realistic weather conditions it was impossible to create a score higher than 20.

The ASFI represents a tool that can be used to prevent slip and fall accidents due to icy and snowy conditions. As demonstrated by our inability to maximize the risk score when using realistic weather conditions, the ASFI is imperfect. Despite its shortcomings, the ASFI is a preliminary step towards effectively disseminating information about the weather conditions likely to lead to falls. Ideally, a refined ASFI will help people better understand when to use protective equipment and take extra precaution outdoors. If implementing the ASFI led to even a 1% decrease in injuries caused by falls, the annual Canadian healthcare savings would be roughly $2 million.

Abstract

Ulnar shortening osteotomy (USO) is a procedure performed to alleviate ulnar sided wrist pain caused by ulnar impaction syndrome (UIS) and/or triangular fibrocartilage complex (TFCC) injury. Presently, non-union rates for ulnar shortening osteotomy is quoted to be 0–18% in the literature. However, there is a dearth of literature on the effect of site of osteotomy and plate placement on the rate of complications like a delayed union, symptomatic hardware and need for second surgery for hardware removal. In this study, we performed a multi-centered institutional review of ulnar shortening osteotomies performed, focusing on plate placement (volar vs. dorsal) and osteotomy site (distal vs. proximal) and determining if it plays a role in reducing complications.

This study was a multi-centered retrospective chart review. All radiographs and charts for patients that have received USO for UIS or TFCC injury between 2013 and 2017 from hand and wrist fellowship-trained surgeons in Calgary, Alberta and Winnipeg, Manitoba were examined. Basic patient demographics including age, sex, past medical history, and smoking history were recorded. Postoperative complications such as delayed union, non-union, infection, chronic regional pain syndrome, hardware irritation requiring removal were evaluated with a two-year follow-up period. Osteotomy sites were analyzed based on the location in relation to the entire length of the ulna on forearm radiographs. Surgical techniques including volar vs. dorsal plating, oblique vs. transverse osteotomy cuts, and plate type were documented.

Continuous variables of interest were summarized as mean or medians with standard deviation or inter-quartile range as appropriate. Differences in baseline characteristics were determined by t-test or one-way ANOVA for continuous variables and chi-square or Fischer exact test for dichotomous variables. All analyses were conducted using SPSS V24.0 (Chicago, IL, USA). All statistical tests were considered significant if p < 0.05.

Between 2013–2017 there were 117 ulnar shortening osteotomies performed. The average age of patients was 46.2 ± 16.2, with 62.4% being female. The mean pre-operative ulnar variance was +3.89 ± 2.17 mm and post-operative ulnar variance was −1.90 ± 1.80 mm. 84.6% of the plates were placed on the volar aspect of the ulna and 14.5% were placed on the dorsal aspect. An oblique osteotomy was made 99.1% of the time. In measuring osteotomy placement, the average placement was made in the distal 1/3 of the ulna. Overall, there was a 40% complication rate. Hardware irritation requiring removal encompassed 23%, non-union 14%, and wound infection covered 0.8%. When comparing dorsal vs volar plating, there was no statistically significant difference for non-union or hardware removal. Similarly, in evaluating osteotomy level, there was no statistical difference between proximal vs distal osteotomy for non-union and hardware removal.

In this multi-centered retrospective review of ulnar shortening osteotomies, we found that there was an overall complication rate of 40%. There was no statistically significant difference in complication rates between dorsal vs volar plate placement or proximal vs distal osteotomy sites. Further studies examining other potential risk factors in lowering the complication rate would be beneficial.