The aim of this study was to identify factors independently associated with symptomatic venous thromboembolism (VTE) following acute Achilles tendon rupture (ATR), and to suggest a clinical VTE risk assessment tool for patients with ATR.

From 2010–2018, 984 consecutive adults (median age 47yrs, 73% male) sustaining an ATR were retrospectively identified. There were 95% managed non-operatively (below-knee cast 52%, n=507/984; walking boot 44%, n=432/984), with 5% (n=45/984) undergoing primary operative repair (<6wks). VTE was diagnosed using medical records and national imaging archives, reviewed at a mean of 5yrs (1–10) post-injury. Regression was performed to identify factors independently associated with VTE.

Incidence of VTE within 90 days of ATR was 3.6% (n=35/984; deep vein thrombosis 2.1% [n=21/984], pulmonary embolism 1.9% [n=19/984]). Age ≥50yrs (adjusted OR [aOR] 2.3, p=0.027), personal history of VTE/thrombophilia (aOR 6.1, p=0.009) and family history of VTE (aOR 20.9, p<0.001) were independently associated with VTE. These non-modifiable risk factors were incorporated into a VTE risk assessment tool. 23% of patients developing VTE (n=8/35) had a relevant personal or family history, but incorporating age into the tool identified 69% of patients with VTE (n=24/35). Non weight-bearing ≥2wks after ATR was also independently associated with VTE (aOR 3.2, p=0.026).

Age ≥50 years, personal history of VTE/thrombophilia and a positive family history were independently associated with VTE following ATR. Incorporating age into our suggested VTE risk assessment tool enhanced sensitivity in identifying at-risk patients. Early weight-bearing in an appropriate orthosis may be beneficial in VTE risk reduction.