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Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 103-B, Issue SUPP_10 | Pages 21 - 21
1 Aug 2021
Chan G Narang A Kieffer W Rogers B
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The global COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in 71 million confirmed global cases and 1.6 million deaths. Hip fractures are a major global health burden with 70 000 admissions per annum in the UK.

This multicentre UK study aimed to assess the impact of perioperative COVID-19 status on 30-day and 120-day mortality after a hip fracture.

A prospective multicentre study of 10 hospitals in South England comprising eight DGHs and two MTCs treating c.8% of the annual incidence of hip fractures in England was performed. All fragility hip fractures presenting between 1st March to 30th April 2020 were eligible for inclusion. COVID-19 infection was diagnosed after a positive PCR swab.

Expected 30-day mortality was calculated using the Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS), with non COVID-19 30-day mortality compared against the same study period in 2019.

746 patients were included in this study with 87 (12%) testing positive for COVID-19. Crude 30-day mortality for COVID-19 positive hip fractures was 35% compared to 6% for COVID-19 negative patients, with COVID-19 positive 30-mortality rates being significantly higher than expected based on NHFS alone (RR 3.0, 95% CI 1.57–5.75, p<0.001). There was no significant difference between expected NHFS and actual 2019 and COVID-19 negative hip fracture rates (p>0.05).

Overall 120-day mortality was significantly higher for COVID-19 positive (46%) compared to COVID-19 negative (15%) hip fractures (p<0.001). However, mortality rates from 31–120 days were not significantly different despite COVID-19 status (p=0.107).

COVID-19 results in significant increases in both 30 and 120-day mortality, above the expected mortality rates when confounding comorbidities are accounted for by the NHFS. However, COVID-19 positive patients who survive beyond 30-days have comparable mortality rates up to 120-days when compared to COVID-19 negative patients. Efforts should therefore be made to mitigate known risks for 30-day mortality such as time to theatre, to improve 30-day mortality rates in COVID-19 positive patients thus increasing the likelihood of long-term survival.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 101-B, Issue 3 | Pages 253 - 259
1 Mar 2019
Shafafy R Valsamis EM Luck J Dimock R Rampersad S Kieffer W Morassi GL Elsayed S

Aims

Fracture of the odontoid process (OP) in the elderly is associated with mortality rates similar to those of hip fracture. The aim of this study was to identify variables that predict mortality in patients with a fracture of the OP, and to assess whether established hip fracture scoring systems such as the Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS) or Sernbo Score might also be used as predictors of mortality in these patients.

Patients and Methods

We conducted a retrospective review of patients aged 65 and over with an acute fracture of the OP from two hospitals. Data collected included demographics, medical history, residence, mobility status, admission blood tests, abbreviated mental test score, presence of other injuries, and head injury. All patients were treated in a semi-rigid cervical orthosis. Univariate and multivariate analysis were undertaken to identify predictors of mortality at 30 days and one year. A total of 82 patients were identified. There were 32 men and 50 women with a mean age of 83.7 years (67 to 100).