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The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 92-B, Issue 6 | Pages 835 - 841
1 Jun 2010
Holt G Smith R Duncan K McKeown DW

We have investigated how medical postponement, the time to surgery and the correction of medical abnormalities, according to McLaughlin criteria, before operation affected peri-operative mortality after fracture of the hip. From February to December 2007, in addition to core data, the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit collected information relating to surgical delay. Data were available for 4284 patients which allowed 30-day survival analysis to be performed. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to control for differences in case-mix.

Patients with major clinical abnormalities were more likely to have a postponement and had a lower unadjusted 30-day survival. The time to operation and postponement were not associated with higher mortality after adjustment for case-mix. Correction of major clinical abnormalities before surgery improved the adjusted survival, but this improvement was not significant (p = 0.10). Postponement without correction of a medical abnormality before surgery was associated with a significantly lower (p = 0.006) 30-day adjusted survival. The possible benefits of postponement need to be weighed against prolonged discomfort for the patient and the possibility of the development of other complications.


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 90-B, Issue 10 | Pages 1357 - 1363
1 Oct 2008
Holt G Smith R Duncan K Finlayson DF Gregori A

We investigated the relationship between a number of patient and management variables and mortality after surgery for fracture of the hip. Data relating to 18 817 patients were obtained from the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit database. We divided variables into two categories, depending on whether they were case-mix (age; gender; fracture type; pre-fracture residence; pre-fracture mobility and ASA scores) or management variables (time from fracture to surgery; time from admission to surgery; grade of surgical and anaesthetic staff undertaking the procedure and anaesthetic technique).

Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that all case-mix variables were strongly associated with post-operative mortality, even when controlling for the effects of the remaining variables. Inclusion of the management variables into the case-mix base regression model provided no significant improvement to the model. Patient case-mix variables have the most significant effect on post-operative mortality and unfortunately such variables cannot be modified by pre-operative medical interventions.


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 90-B, Issue 4 | Pages 480 - 483
1 Apr 2008
Holt G Smith R Duncan K Hutchison JD Gregori A

We report gender differences in the epidemiology and outcome after hip fracture from the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit, with data on admission and at 120 days follow-up from 22 orthopaedic units across the country between 1998 and 2005. Outcome measures included early mortality, length of hospital stay, 120-day residence and mobility. A multivariate logistic regression model compared outcomes between genders. The study comprised 25 649 patients of whom 5674 (22%) were men and 19 975 (78%) were women. The men were in poorer pre-operative health, despite being younger at presentation (mean 77 years (60 to 101) vs 81 years (50 to 106)). Pre-fracture residence and mobility were similar between genders.

Multivariate analysis indicated that the men were less likely to return to their home or mobilise independently at the 120-day follow-up. Mortality at 30 and 120 days was higher for men, even after differences in case-mix variables between genders were considered.


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 88-B, Issue 8 | Pages 1060 - 1064
1 Aug 2006
Holt G Macdonald D Fraser M Reece AT

Despite the increase in numbers of the extreme elderly, little data is available regarding their outcome after surgery for fracture of the hip. We performed a prospective study of 50 patients aged 95 years and over who underwent this procedure. Outcome measures included morbidity, mortality, hospital stay, residential and walking status. Comparison was made with a control group of 200 consecutive patients aged less than 95 years who had a similar operation. The mortality at 28 and 120 days was higher (p = 0.005, p = 0.001) in the patients over 95 years. However, the one-year cumulative post-operative mortality was neither significantly different between the two groups (p = 0.229) nor from the standardised mortality rate for the age-matched population (p = 0.445). Predictors of mortality included the ASA grade, the number of comorbid medical conditions and active medical problems on admission. Patients over 95 were unlikely to recover their independence and at a mean follow-up of 29.3 months (12.1 to 48) 96% required permanent institutional care.