The aim of this study was to determine the floor and ceiling effects for both the QuickDASH and PRWE following a fracture of the distal radius. Secondary aims were to determine the degree to which patients with a floor or ceiling effect felt that their wrist was ‘normal’, and if there were patient factors associated with achieving a floor or ceiling effect.

A retrospective cohort study of patients sustaining a distal radius fracture and managed at the study centre during a single year was undertaken. Outcome measures included the QuickDASH, the PRWE, EuroQol-5 Dimension-3 Levels (EQ-5D-3L), and the normal wrist score.

There were 526 patients with a mean age of 65yrs (20–95) and 421 (77%) were female. Most patients were managed non-operatively (73%, n=385). The mean follow-up was 4.8yrs (4.3–5.5). A ceiling effect was observed for both the QuickDASH (22.3%) and PRWE (28.5%). When defined to be within the minimum clinical important difference of the best available score, the ceiling effect increased to 62.8% for the QuickDASH and 60% for the PRWE. Patients that achieved a ceiling score for the QuickDASH and PRWE subjectively felt their wrist was only 91% and 92% normal, respectively. On logistic regression analysis, a dominant hand injury and better health-related quality of life were the common factors associated with achieving a ceiling score for both the QuickDASH and PRWE (all p<0.05).

The QuickDASH and PRWE demonstrate ceiling effects when used to assess the outcome of fractures of the distal radius. Patients achieving ceiling scores did not consider their wrist to be ‘normal’. Future patient-reported outcome assessment tools for fractures of the distal radius should aim to limit the ceiling effect, especially for individuals or groups that are more likely to achieve a ceiling score.

The aim was to predict the number and incidence of distal radius fractures in Scotland over the next two decades according to age group, categorised into under 65yrs(<65) and 65yrs and older (≥65), and estimate the potential increased operative burden of this.

The number of distal radius fracture in Scotland was isolated from the Global Burden of Disease database and this was used, in addition to historic population data and population estimates, to create a multivariable model allowing incorporation of age group, sex and time. A Negative Binomial distribution was used to predict incidence in 2030 and 2040 and calculate projected number of fractures according to the population at risk. A 20.4% operative intervention rate was assumed in the ≥65 group (local data).

In terms of number of fractures, there was a projected 61% rise in the ≥65 group with an overall increase of 2099 fractures per year from 3417 in 2020 (95% confidence interval (CI) 2960 – 3463) to 5516 in 2040 (95% CI 4155–5675). This was associated with 428 additional operative interventions per year for those ≥65yrs. The projected increase between 2020 and 2040 was similar in both sexes (60% in females, 63% in males), however the absolute increase in fracture number was higher in females (2256 in 2020 [95% CI 1954–2287] to 3620 in 2040 [95% CI 2727–3721]) compared to males (1160 [95% CI 1005–1176] to 1895 [95% CI 1427–1950]). There was a 4% projected fall in the number of fractures in those <65.

Incidence of distal radius fractures is expected to considerably increase over the next two decades due to a projected increase in the number of fractures in the elderly. This has implications for the associated morbidity and healthcare resource use.

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to compare the outcome of operative and non-operative management in adults with distal radius fractures, with an additional elderly subgroup analysis. The main outcome was 12-month PRWE score. Secondary outcomes included DASH score, grip strength, complications and radiographic parameters.

Randomised controlled trials of patients aged ≥18yrs with a dorsally displaced distal radius fractures were included. Studies compared operative intervention with non-operative management. Operative management included open reduction and internal fixation, Kirschner-wiring or external fixation. Non-operative management was cast/splint immobilisation with/without closed reduction. Version 2 of the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool was used.

After screening 1258 studies, 16 trials with 1947 patients (mean age 66yrs, 76% female) were included in the meta-analysis. Eight studies reported PRWE score and there was no clinically significant difference at 12 weeks (MD 0.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] −0.75 to 1.07, p=0.73) or 12 months (mean difference [MD] 3.30, 95% CI −5.66 to −0.94, p=0.006). Four studies reported on scores in the elderly and there was no clinically significant difference at 12 weeks (MD 0.59, 95% CI −0.35 to 1.53, p=0.22) or 12 months (MD 2.60, 95% CI −5.51 to 0.30, p=0.08). There was a no clinically significant difference in DASH score at 12 weeks (MD 10.18, 95% CI −14.98 to −5.38, p<0.0001) or 12 months (MD 3.49, 95% CI −5.69 to −1.29, p=0.002). Two studies featured only elderly patients, with no clinically important difference at 12 weeks (MD 7.07, 95% CI −11.77 to −2.37, p=0.003) or 12 months (MD 3.32, 95% CI −7.03 to 0.38, p=0.08).

There was no clinically significant difference in patient-reported outcome according to PRWE or DASH at either timepoint in the adult group as a whole or in the elderly subgroup.

To compare the long-term outcomes of fibular nailing and plate fixation for unstable ankle fractures in a cohort of patients under the age of 65 years.

Patients from a previously conducted randomized control trial comparing fibular nailing and plate fixation were contacted at a minimum of 10 years post intervention at a single study centre. Short term data were collected prospectively and long-term data were collected retrospectively using an electronic patient record software.

Ninety-nine patients from one trauma centre were included (48 fibular nails and 51 plate fixations). Groups were matched for gender (p = 0.579), age (p = 0.811), body mass index (BMI)(p = 0.925), smoking status (p = 0.209), alcohol status (p = 0.679) and injury type (p = 0.674). Radiographically at an average of 2 years post-injury, there was no statistically significant difference between groups for development of osteoarthritis (p = 0.851). Both groups had 1 tibio-talar fusion (2% of both groups) secondary to osteoarthritis with no statistically significant difference in overall re-operation rate between groups identified (p = 0.518,). Forty-five percent (n=42) of patients had so far returned patient reported outcome measures at a minimum of 10 years (Fibular nail n=19, plate fixation n=23). No significant difference was found between groups at 10 years for the Olerud and Molander Ankle Score (p = 0.990), the Manchester-Oxford Foot Questionnaire (p = 0.288), Euroqol-5D Index (p = 0.828) and Euroqol-5D Visual Analogue Score (p = 0.769).

The current study illustrates no difference between fibular nail fixation and plate fixation at a long-term follow up of 10 years in patients under 65 years old, although the study is currently under powered.

To develop a reliable and effective radiological score to assess the healing of isolated ulnar shaft fractures (IUSF), the Radiographic Union Score for Ulna fractures (RUSU).

Initially, 20 patients with radiographs six weeks following a non-operatively managed ulnar shaft fracture were selected and scored by three blinded observers. After intraclass correlation (ICC) analysis, a second group of 54 patients with radiographs six weeks after injury (18 who developed a nonunion and 36 who united) were scored by the same observers.

In the initial study, interobserver and intraobserver ICC were 0.89 and 0.93, respectively. In the validation study the interobserver ICC was 0.85. The median score for patients who united was significantly higher than those who developed a nonunion (11 vs 7, p<0.001). A ROC curve demonstrated that a RUSU ≤8 had a sensitivity of 88.9% and specificity of 86.1% in identifying patients at risk of nonunion. Patients with a RUSU ≤8 (n = 21) were more likely to develop a nonunion (n = 16/21) than those with a RUSU ≥9 (n = 2/33; OR 49.6, 95% CI 8.6–284.7). Based on a PPV of 76%, if all patients with a RUSU ≤8 underwent fixation at 6-weeks, the number of procedures needed to avoid one nonunion would be 1.3.

The RUSU shows good interobserver and intraobserver reliability and is effective in identifying patients at risk of nonunion six weeks after fracture. This tool requires external validation but may enhance the management of patients with isolated ulnar shaft fractures.

COVID-19 confers a three-fold increased mortality risk among hip fracture patients. The aims were to investigate whether vaccination was associated with: i) lower mortality risk, and ii) lower likelihood of contracting COVID-19 within 30 days of fracture.

This nationwide cohort study included all patients aged >50 years with a hip fracture between 01/03/20-31/12/21. Data from the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit were collected and included: demographics, injury and management variables, discharge destination, and 30-day mortality status. These variables were linked to population-level records of COVID-19 vaccination and testing.

There were 13,345 patients with a median age of 82.0 years (IQR 74.0–88.0), and 9329/13345 (69.9%) were female. Of 3022/13345 (22.6%) patients diagnosed with COVID-19, 606/13345 (4.5%) were COVID-positive within 30 days of fracture. Multivariable logistic regression demonstrated that vaccinated patients were less likely to be COVID-positive (odds ratio (OR) 0.41, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.34–0.48, p<0.001) than unvaccinated patients. 30-day mortality rate was higher for COVID-positive than COVID-negative patients (15.8% vs 7.9%, p < 0.001). Controlling for confounders (age, sex, comorbidity, deprivation, pre-fracture residence), unvaccinated patients with COVID-19 had a greater mortality risk than COVID-negative patients (OR 2.77, CI 2.12–3.62, p < 0.001), but vaccinated COVID19-positive patients were not at increased risk (OR 0.93, CI 0.53–1.60, p = 0.783).

Vaccination was associated with lower COVID-19 infection risk. Vaccinated COVID-positive patients had a similar mortality risk to COVID-negative patients, suggesting a reduced severity of infection. This study demonstrates the efficacy of vaccination in this vulnerable patient group, and presents essential data for future outbreaks.

The primary aim was to assess the reliability of ultrasound in the assessment of humeral shaft fracture healing. The secondary aim was to estimate the accuracy of ultrasound assessment in predicting humeral shaft nonunion.

Twelve patients (mean age 54yrs [20–81], 58% [n=7/12] female) with a non-operatively managed humeral diaphyseal fracture were prospectively recruited and underwent ultrasound scanning at six and 12wks post-injury. Scans were reviewed by seven blinded observers to evaluate the presence of sonographic callus. Intra- and inter-observer reliability were determined using the weighted kappa and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Accuracy of ultrasound assessment in nonunion prediction was estimated by comparing scans for patients that united (n=10/12) with those that developed a nonunion (n=2/12).

At both six and 12wks, sonographic callus was present in 11 patients (10 united, one developed a nonunion) and sonographic bridging callus (SBC) was present in seven patients (all united). Ultrasound assessment demonstrated substantial intra- (6wk kappa 0.75, 95% CI 0.47-1.03; 12wk kappa 0.75, 95% CI 0.46-1.04) and inter-observer reliability (6wk ICC 0.60, 95% CI 0.38-0.83; 12wk ICC 0.76, 95% CI 0.58-0.91). Absence of sonographic callus demonstrated a sensitivity of 50%, specificity 100%, positive predictive value (PPV) 100% and negative predictive value (NPV) 91% in nonunion prediction (accuracy 92%). Absence of SBC demonstrated a sensitivity of 100%, specificity 70%, PPV 40% and NPV 100% (accuracy 75%). Of three patients at risk of nonunion based on reduced radiographic callus formation (Radiographic Union Score for HUmeral fractures <8), one had SBC on 6wk ultrasound (and united) and the other two had non-bridging or absent sonographic callus (both developed a nonunion).

Ultrasound assessment of humeral shaft fracture healing was reliable and predictive of nonunion, and may be a useful tool in defining the risk of nonunion among patients with reduced radiographic callus formation.

The aim of this study was to perform a systematic review of the literature on Gustilo-Anderson (GA) type IIIB open tibial shaft (AO-42) injuries to determine the consistency of reporting in the literature.

A search of PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials was performed to identify relevant studies published from January 2000 to January 2021 using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) statement. The study was registered using the PROSPERO International prospective register of systematic reviews. Patient/injury demographics, management and outcome reporting were recorded.

There were 32 studies that met the inclusion criteria with a total of 1,947 patients (70.3% male, 29.7% female). There were 6 studies (18.8%) studies that reported on comorbidities and smoking, with mechanism of injury reported in 22 (68.8%). No studies reported on all operative criteria included, with only three studies (9.4%) reporting for time to antibiotics, 14 studies (43.8%) for time from injury to debridement and nine studies (28.1%) for time to definitive fixation. All studies reported on the rate of deep infection, with a high proportion documenting union rate (26/32, 81.3%). However, only two studies reported on mortality or on other post-operative complications (2/32, 6.3%). Only 12 studies (37.5%) provided any patient reported outcomes.

This study has demonstrated a deficiency and a lack of standardized variable and outcome reporting in the orthopaedic literature for Gustilo-Anderson type IIIB open tibial shaft fractures. We propose a future international collaborative Delphi process is needed to standardize.

Hip fracture patients are vulnerable to delirium. This study examined the associations between delirium and outcomes including mortality, length of stay, post-discharge care requirements, and readmission.

This cohort study collected validated healthcare data for all hip fracture patients aged ≥50 years that presented to a high-volume centre between March 2020-November 2021. Variables included: demographics, delirium status, COVID-19 status, treatment factors, and outcome measures. Wilcoxon rank sum or Chi-squared tests were used for baseline differences, Cox proportional hazard regression for mortality, logistic regression for post-discharge care requirements and readmission, and linear regression for length of stay. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, pre-fracture residence type and COVID-19.

There were 1822 patients (mean age 81 years; 72% female) of which 496/1822 (27.2%) had delirium (4AT score ≥4). Of 371/1822 (20.4%) patients that died within 180 days of admission, 177/371 (47.7%) had delirium during the acute stay. Delirium was associated with an increased 30- and 180-day mortality risk (adjusted HR 1.74 (95%CI 1.15-2.64; p=0.009 and 1.74 (1.36-2.22; p<0.001), respectively), ten day longer total inpatient stay [adj. B.coef 9.80 (standard error 2.26); p<0.001] and three-fold greater odds of higher care requirements on discharge [Odds Ratio 3.07 (95% Confidence Interval 2.27-4.15; p<0.001)].

More than a quarter of patients had delirium during the hip fracture stay, and this was independently associated with increased mortality, longer length of stay, and higher post-discharge care requirements. These findings are relevant for prognostication and service planning, and emphasise the importance of effective delirium screening and evidence-based interventions in this vulnerable population.

The aims of this study in relation to distal radius fractures were to determine (1) the floor and ceiling effects for the QuickDASH and PRWE, (2) the floor and ceiling effects when defined to be within the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) of the minimal or maximal scores, (3) the degree to which patients with a floor or ceiling effect felt that their wrist was ‘normal’, and (4) patent factors associated with a floor or ceiling effect.

A retrospective cohort study of patients sustaining a distal radius fracture during a single year was undertaken. Outcome measures included the QuickDASH, PRWE, EQ-5D-3L and normal wrist score.

There were 526 patients with a mean age of 65yrs and 77% were female. Most patients were managed non-operatively (73%, n=385). The mean follow-up was 4.8yrs. A ceiling effect was observed for both the QuickDASH (22.3%) and PRWE (28.5%). When defined to be within the MCID of the best score, the effect increased to 62.8% for the QuickDASH and 60% for PRWE. Patients that achieved the best functional outcome according to the QuickDASH and PRWE felt their wrist was only 91% and 92% normal, respectively. Sex (p=0.000), age (p=0.000), dominant wrist injury (p=0.006 for QuickDASH and p=0.038 for PRWE), fracture type (p=0.015), and a better health-related quality of life (p=0.000) were independently associated with achieving a ceiling score.

The QuickDASH and PRWE demonstrated ceiling effects following a distal radius fracture. Patients achieving ceiling scores did not consider their wrist to be ‘normal’ for them.

This prospective randomised trial aimed to assess the superiority of internal fixation of well-reduced medial malleolar fractures (displacement □2mm) compared with non-fixation, following fibular stabilisation in patients undergoing surgical management of a closed unstable ankle fracture.

A total of 154 adult patients with a bi- or trimalleolar fracture were recruited from a single centre. Open injuries and vertically unstable medial malleolar fractures were excluded. Following fibular stabilisation, patients were randomised intra-operatively on a 1:1 basis to fixation or non-fixation after satisfactory fluoroscopic fracture reduction was confirmed. The primary outcome was the Olerud Molander Ankle Score (OMAS) at 12 months post-randomisation. Complications were documented over the follow-up period.

The baseline group demographics and injury characteristics were comparable. There were 144 patients reviewed at the primary outcome point (94%). The median OMAS was 80 (IQR, 60-90) in the fixation group vs. 72.5 (IQR, 55-90) in the non-fixation group (p=0.165). Complication rates were comparable, although significantly more patients (n=13, 20%) in the non-fixation group developed a radiographic non-union (p<0.001). The majority (n=8/13) were asymptomatic, with one patient requiring surgical reintervention. In the non-fixation group, a superior outcome was associated with an anatomical medial malleolar fracture reduction.

Internal fixation is not superior to non-fixation of well-reduced medial malleolar fractures when managing unstable ankle fractures. However, one in five patients following non-fixation developed a radiographic non-union and whilst the re-intervention rate to manage this was low, the longer-term consequences of this are unknown. The results of this trial may support selective non-fixation of anatomically reduced fractures.

The primary aim was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of routine operative fixation for all patients with humeral shaft fractures. The secondary aim was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of using a Radiographic Union Score for HUmeral fractures (RUSHU)<8 to facilitate selective fixation for patients at risk of nonunion.

From 2008-2017, 215 patients (mean age 57yrs [17–81], 61% female) with a non-operatively managed humeral diaphyseal fracture were retrospectively identified. Union was achieved in 77% (n=165/215) after non-operative management, with 23% (n=50/215) uniting after nonunion surgery. The EuroQol Five-Dimension (EQ-5D) Health Index was obtained via postal survey. An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) <£20,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained was considered cost-effective.

At a mean of 5.4yrs (1.2–11.0), the mean EQ-5D was 0.736. Multiple regression demonstrated that uniting after nonunion surgery was independently associated with an inferior EQ-5D (beta=0.103, p=0.032). Routine fixation for all patients to reduce the nonunion rate would be associated with increased treatment costs (£1,542/patient) but confer a potential EQ-5D benefit of 0.120/patient. The ICER of routine fixation was £12,850/QALY gained. Selective fixation, based upon a RUSHU<8 at 6wks post-injury, would be associated with reduced treatment costs (£415/patient) and confer a potential EQ-5D benefit of 0.335 per ‘at-risk patient’.

Routine fixation for patients with humeral shaft fractures, to reduce the nonunion rate observed after non-operative management, appears to be cost-effective at 5yrs post-injury. Selective fixation for patients at risk of nonunion based upon the RUSHU may confer greater cost-effectiveness, given the potential savings and improvement in EQ-5D.

Abstract

The Trauma Triage clinic (TTC) is a Virtual Fracture clinic which permits the direct discharge of simple, isolated fractures from the Emergency Department (ED), with consultant review of the clinical notes and radiographs. This study details the outcomes of patients with such injuries over a four-year period.

All TTC records between January 2014 and December 2017 were collated from a prospective database. Fractures of the radial head, little finger metacarpal, fifth metatarsal, toe phalanges and soft tissue mallet finger injuries were included. Application of the direct discharge protocol, and any deviations were noted. All records were then re-assessed at a minimum of three years after TTC triage (mean 4.5 years) to ascertain which injuries re-attended the trauma clinic, reasons for re-attendance, source of referral and any subsequent surgical procedures.

6709 patients with fractures of the radial head (1882), little finger metacarpal (1621), fifth metatarsal (1916), toe phalanges (920) and soft tissue mallet finger injures (370) were identified. 963 (14%) patients were offered in-person review after TTC, of which 45 (0.6%) underwent a surgical intervention. 299 (4%) re-attended after TTC direct discharge at a mean time after injury of 11.9 weeks and 12 (0.2%) underwent surgical intervention. Serious interventions, defined as those in which a surgical procedure may have been avoided if the patient had not undergone direct discharge, occurred in 1 patient (0.01%).

Re-intervention after direct discharge of simple injuries of the elbow, hand and foot is low. Unnecessary deviations from protocol offer avenues to optimise consumption of service resources.

This study describes the introduction of a virtual pathway for the management of suspected scaphoid fractures and reports patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) and satisfaction following treatment with this service.

All adult patients that presented with a clinically suspected scaphoid fracture that was not visible on presentation radiographs over a one-year period were eligible for inclusion in the pathway. Demographics, examination findings, clinical scaphoid score (CSS) and standard four view radiographs were collected at presentation. All radiographs were reviewed virtually by a single consultant hand surgeon, with patient-initiated follow-up on request. PROMs were assessed at a minimum of one year post presentation and included the QuickDASH, EQ-5D-5L, the Net Promoter Score (NPS) and return to work.

There were 221 patients referred to the virtual pathway. The mean age was 41 (range 16–87; SD 18.4 years) and there were 99 men (45%). There were 189 (86%) patients discharged with advice and 19 (9%) patients were recalled for clinical review (seven undisplaced scaphoid fractures, six other acute fractures of the hand or wrist, two scapholunate ligament injuries, and four cases where no abnormality was detected). Thirteen patients (6%) initiated follow-up with the hand service; no fracture or ligament injury was identified within this group. PROMs were available for 179 (81%) patients at a mean of 19 months follow-up (range: 13 – 33 months). The median QuickDASH score was 2.3 (IQR, 0–15.9), the median EQ-5D-5L was 0.85 (IQR, 0.73–1.00), the NPS was 76, and 173 (97%) patients were satisfied with their treatment. There were no documented cases of symptomatic non-union one year following injury.

This study reports the introduction of a virtual pathway for suspected scaphoid fractures, demonstrating high levels of patient satisfaction, excellent PROMs, and no detrimental effects in the vast majority of cases.

The Poole Traction Splint (PTS) is a non-invasive technique that applies dynamic traction to the affected digit using materials readily available in the outpatient department. The primary aim of this study was to document the outcome of the PTS for hand phalangeal fractures.

Over a four-year period (2017–2021), suitable patients were reviewed and referred for PTS to the hand physiotherapists. Functional outcome measures included range of motion (ROM), return to work, and a DASH score. In addition, a healthcare cost analysis was carried out.

A total of 63 patients were treated with a PTS from 2017 to 2021. Data was analysed for 54 patients with 55 digits. The mean age was 43 years (17–72) and 53.7% (n=29) were female. There were 43 fractures involving the proximal phalanx and 12 involving the middle phalanx. The mean final composite range of movement averaged 209˚ (110–270°), classified as ‘good/excellent’ by ASSH criteria. The mean DASH score was 13.6 (0-43.2; n=45). All patients were able to return to work. Only two (3.7%) digits required conversion to surgical fixation. The PTS resulted in approximate savings of £2,452 per patient.

The PTS is a cost-effective non-invasive low risk outpatient treatment method which provides a functional ROM and good functional outcomes in the treatment of complex phalangeal hand fractures, with minimal risk of surgical intervention being required.

The aim of this study was to identify factors independently associated with symptomatic venous thromboembolism (VTE) following acute Achilles tendon rupture (ATR), and to suggest a clinical VTE risk assessment tool for patients with ATR.

From 2010–2018, 984 consecutive adults (median age 47yrs, 73% male) sustaining an ATR were retrospectively identified. There were 95% managed non-operatively (below-knee cast 52%, n=507/984; walking boot 44%, n=432/984), with 5% (n=45/984) undergoing primary operative repair (<6wks). VTE was diagnosed using medical records and national imaging archives, reviewed at a mean of 5yrs (1–10) post-injury. Regression was performed to identify factors independently associated with VTE.

Incidence of VTE within 90 days of ATR was 3.6% (n=35/984; deep vein thrombosis 2.1% [n=21/984], pulmonary embolism 1.9% [n=19/984]). Age ≥50yrs (adjusted OR [aOR] 2.3, p=0.027), personal history of VTE/thrombophilia (aOR 6.1, p=0.009) and family history of VTE (aOR 20.9, p<0.001) were independently associated with VTE. These non-modifiable risk factors were incorporated into a VTE risk assessment tool. 23% of patients developing VTE (n=8/35) had a relevant personal or family history, but incorporating age into the tool identified 69% of patients with VTE (n=24/35). Non weight-bearing ≥2wks after ATR was also independently associated with VTE (aOR 3.2, p=0.026).

Age ≥50 years, personal history of VTE/thrombophilia and a positive family history were independently associated with VTE following ATR. Incorporating age into our suggested VTE risk assessment tool enhanced sensitivity in identifying at-risk patients. Early weight-bearing in an appropriate orthosis may be beneficial in VTE risk reduction.

Abstract

This international multicentre retrospective cohort study aimed to assess: 1) prevalence of COVID-19 in hip fracture patients, 2) effect on mortality, and 3) clinical factors associated mortality among COVID-19-positive patients.

A collaboration among 112 centres in 14 nations collected data on all patients with a hip fracture between 1st March-31st May 2020. Patient, injury and surgical factors were recorded, and outcome measures included admission duration, COVID-19 and 30-day mortality status.

There were 7090 patients and 651 (9.2%) were COVID-19-positive. COVID-19 was independently associated with male sex (p=0.001), residential care (p<0.001), inpatient fall (p=0.003), cancer (p=0.009), ASA grade 4–5 (p=0.008; p<0.001), and longer admission (p<0.001). Patients with COVID-19 had a significantly lower chance of 30-day survival versus those without (72.7% versus 92.6%, p<0.001), and COVID-19 was independently associated with increased 30-day mortality risk (p<0.001). Increasing age (p=0.028), male sex (p<0.001), renal (p=0.017) and pulmonary disease (p=0·039) were independently associated with higher 30-day mortality risk in patients with COVID-19 when adjusting for confounders.

The prevalence of COVID-19 in hip fracture patients was 9% and was independently associated with a three-fold increased 30-day mortality risk. Clinical factors associated with mortality among COVID-19-positive hip fracture patients were identified for the first time. This is the largest study, and the only global cohort, reporting on the effect of COVID-19 in hip fracture patients. The findings provide a benchmark against which to determine vaccine efficacy in this vulnerable population and are especially important in the context of incomplete vaccination programmes and the emergence of vaccine-resistant strains.

The primary aim was to determine the rate of complications and re-intervention rate in a consecutive series of operatively managed distal radius fractures.

Data was retrospectively collected on 304 adult distal radius fractures treated at our institution in a year. Acute unstable displaced distal radius fractures surgically managed within 28 days of injury were included. Demographic and injury data, as well as details of complications and their subsequent management were recorded.

There were 304 fractures in 297 patients. The mean age was 57yrs and 74% were female. Most patients were managed with open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF) (n=278, 91%), with 6% (n=17) managed with manipulation and Kirschner wires and 3% (n=9) with bridging external fixation. Twenty-seven percent (n=81) encountered a post-operative complication. Complex regional pain syndrome was most common (5%, n=14), followed by loss of reduction (4%). Ten patients (3%) had a superficial wound infection managed with oral antibiotics. Deep infection occurred in one patient. Fourteen percent (n=42) required re-operation. The most common indication was removal of metalwork (n=27), followed by carpal tunnel decompression (n=4) and revision ORIF (n=4). Increasing age (p=0.02), male gender (p=0.02) and high energy mechanism of injury (p<0.001) were associated with developing a complication. High energy mechanism was the only factor associated with re-operation (p<0.001).

This study has documented the complication and re-intervention rates following distal radius fracture fixation. Given the increased risk of complications and the positive outcomes reported in the literature, non-operative management of displaced fractures should be considered in older patients.

Whilst emergency fasciotomy for acute compartment syndrome (ACS) of the leg is limb and potentially lifesaving, there remains a perception that such surgery may result in excessive morbidity, which may deter surgeons in providing expeditious care. There are limited long-term studies reporting on the morbidity associated with fasciotomy.

A total of 559 patients with a tibial diaphyseal fracture were managed at our centre over a 7-year period (2009–2016). Of these patients, 41 (7.3%) underwent fasciotomies for the treatment of ACS. A matched cohort of 185 patients who did not develop ACS were used as controls. The primary short-term outcome measure was the development of any complication. The primary long-term outcome measure was the patient reported EQ-5D.

There was no significant difference between fasciotomy and non-fasciotomy groups in the overall rate of infection (17% vs 9.2% respectively; p=0.138), deep infection (4.9% vs 3.8%; p=0.668) or non-union (4.9% vs 7.0%; p=1.000). There were 11 (26.8%) patients who required skin grafting of fasciotomy wounds. There were 206 patients (21 ACS) with long-term outcome data at a mean of 5 years (1–9). There was no significant difference between groups in terms of the EQ-5D (p=0.81), Oxford Knee Score (p=0.239) or the Manchester-Oxford Foot Questionnaire (p=0.629). Patient satisfaction on a linear analogue scale was reduced in patients who developed ACS (77 vs 88; p=0.039).

These data suggest that when managed with urgent decompressive fasciotomies, ACS does not appear to have a significant impact on the long-term patient reported outcome, although overall patient satisfaction is reduced.

The primary aim was to identify patient and injury factors independently associated with humeral diaphyseal fracture nonunion after non-operative management. The secondary aim was to determine the effect of management (operative/non-operative) on nonunion.

Over a ten-year period, 734 humeral diaphyseal fractures (732 consecutive patients) were retrospectively identified from a trauma database. Follow-up was available for 663 fractures (662 patients; median age 57yrs [16–96], 54% female [n=359/662]) which formed the study cohort. Patient and injury characteristics were recorded. There were 523 patients (79%) managed non-operatively and 139 (21%) managed operatively. Outcome (union/nonunion) was determined from medical records and radiographs.

Median follow-up was five months (1.2–74). Nonunion occurred in 22.7% of non-operatively managed injuries (n=119/524). Multivariate analysis demonstrated pre-injury NSAIDs (adjusted OR [AOR] 40.8, 95% CI 2.6–632.3; p=0.008), being underweight (BMI <18.5kg/m2; AOR 7.3, 95% CI 1.3 to 40.2; p=0.022), overweight (BMI 25–29.9kg/m2; AOR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1 to 5.9; p=0.034) and class II obesity (BMI 35–39.9kg/m2; AOR 4.5, 95% CI 1.4 to 15.5; p=0.014) were independently associated with an increased risk of nonunion. Operative fixation was independently associated with a lower risk of nonunion (2.9%, n=4/139) than non-operative management (AOR for non-operative/operative 11.0, 95% CI 2.8 to 43.6; p=0.001). Based upon these results, five patients would need to undergo operative fixation to avoid one nonunion.

Pre-injury NSAIDs and BMI were independently associated with nonunion following non-operative management of a humeral diaphyseal fracture. Operative fixation was the independent factor most strongly associated with a lower risk of nonunion.

This prospective, randomized, controlled trial compares patient outcome after non-operative care versus open reduction and tunneled suspension device fixation (ORTSD) for grade III or IV acromioclavicular joint disruptions.

Sixty patients aged between sixteen and thirty-five years with an acute grade III or IV AC joint disruption were randomized to receive ORTSD fixation or non-operative treatment. Functional assessment was conducted at six weeks, three months, six months, and one year using the Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hands (DASH), Oxford Shoulder Scores (OSS) and Short Form (SF-12). Reduction was evaluated using radiographs. Complications were recorded, and an economic evaluation performed.

There was no significant difference in DASH or OSS at one year between non-operative and ORTSD groups (DASH score, 4.67 versus 5.63; OSS, 45.72 versus 45.63). Patients undergoing surgery had inferior DASH scores at 6 weeks (p<0.01). Five patients who failed non-operative management subsequently received surgery. Overall cost of treatment was significantly greater after ORTSD fixation (£796.22 vs £3359.73 (p<0.01)).

ORTSD fixation confers no functional benefit over non-operative treatment at one year. While patients managed non-operatively generally recover faster, a significant group remain dissatisfied following non-operative treatment requiring delayed surgical reconstruction.

The evidence for treatment of acute complex radial head fractures with radial head replacement (RHR) predominantly comprises short to mid-term follow-up. This study describes the complications and long-term patient reported outcomes following RHR.

From a single-centre trauma database we retrospectively identified 119 patients over a 16-year period who underwent primary RHR for an acute complex radial head fracture. We reviewed electronic records to document post-operative complications, including prosthesis revision and removal. Patients were contacted to confirm complications and long-term patient reported outcomes. The primary outcome measure was the QuickDash (QD).

The mean age at injury was 50 years (16–94) and 63 (53%) were female. Most implants were uncemented ‘loose-fit’ monopolar prostheses; 86% (n=102) were metallic and 14% (n=17) silastic. Thirty patients (25%) required revision surgery (n=3) or prosthesis removal (n=27). Five patients underwent arthrolysis and there were four cases of infection. In the long-term, 80% (80/100; 19 deceased) were contacted at a mean of 12 years (7.5–23.5). The median QD was 6.8 (IQR, 16.8), the median EQ-5D was 0.8 (IQR, 0.6) and the median Oxford Elbow Score was 46 (IQR, 7). Overall satisfaction was high with a mean of 9.4/10 (2–10). There was no significant difference in any outcome measure for those patients requiring revision or removal surgery (all p>0.05).

This is the largest series in the literature documenting the long-term patient reported outcome after RHR. Despite a quarter of patients requiring further surgery, RHR is supported by positive long-term results for the treatment of complex radial head fractures.

Limited long term data exists comparing operatively and non-operatively treated Achilles tendon ruptures. A previous randomised controlled trial comparing early outcomes showed a short term advantage for surgery, but there are no long term prospective randomised comparisons. Our aim was to determine whether surgery conferred long term benefits in terms of patient reported outcomes or re-rupture.

64 patients (80%) were followed up with postal questionnaires. Patients were asked to complete the Short Musculoskeletal Function Assessment (SMFA), Achilles Tendon Total Rupture Score (ATRS) and EQ-5D questionnaires, and to report re-ruptures.

32 patients were treated non-operatively and 32 operatively; 59 completed the SMFA and 64 the ATRS and EQ-5D assessments. There was no significant difference in SMFA score (median 1.09, IQR 4.89 in the cast group versus 2.17 and 7.07 in the operative group; p=0.347), ATRS (median 96, IQR 18 versus 93 and 15; p=0.509), EQ-5D Index (median 1.0, IQR 0.163 versus 1.0 and 0.257; p=0.327) and EQ-5D Visual Analogue Score (median score 85, IQR 15 versus 85 and 24; p=0.650). There were 2 re-ruptures in the operative group and 4 in the non-operative group (p=0.067).

This is the first prospective, randomised, long term report comparing operative and non-operative management. At follow up between 13–17 years after injury, patients reported good function and health related quality of life. There was no significant difference in re-rupture rate between the treatment groups.

The aim of this prospective randomized controlled trial was to compare patient reported and functional outcomes, complications and costs for displaced olecranon fractures managed with either tension band wire (TBW) or plate fixation. We performed a registered prospective randomized, single blind, single centre trial in 67 patients aged between 16–74 years with an acute isolated displaced fracture of the olecranon. Patients were randomised to either TBW (n=34) or plate fixation (n=33). The primary outcome measure was the Disability Arm Shoulder and Hand (DASH) score at one-year.

The baseline demographic and fracture characteristics of the two groups were overall comparable. The one-year follow-up was 85percnt;. There was a significant improvement in elbow function over the 12 months following injury in both groups (p<0.001). At one-year following surgery the DASH for the TBW group was not statistically different to the plate fixation group (12.8 vs 8.5; p=0.315). There was no significant difference between groups in terms of range of movement, Broberg and Morrey Score, Mayo Elbow Score or the DASH at all assessment points over the one-year following injury (all p≥0.05). Complication rates were significantly higher in the TBW group (63percnt;vs38percnt;; p=0.042), predominantly due to a significantly higher rate of symptomatic metalwork removal (50percnt;vs22percnt;; p=0.021).

In active patients with an isolated displaced fracture of the olecranon, no difference was found in the patient reported outcome between TBW and plate fixation at one year following surgery. The complication rate is higher following TBW fixation due to a high rate of symptomatic metalwork removal.

We present a review of 97 consecutive BioPro^® metallic hemiarthroplasties performed in 80 patients for end-stage hallux rigidus, with a minimum of five years follow-up.

The mean age of the cohort was 55 (22 to 74) years. No patient was lost to follow-up. There were 15 revisions performed, one for infection, two for osteolysis, and 12 for pain. The all cause survival rate at five years was 85.6% (95% confidence interval (CI) 83.5 to 87.9). Younger age was a significant predictor of revision (odds ratio 1.09, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.17, p=0.014) on excluding infection and adjusting for confounding variables (Cox regression). Significant improvements were demonstrated at 5 years in the Manchester Oxford foot questionnaire (13.9, 95% CI 10.5 to 17.2) and in the physical component of the short form 12 score (6.5, 95% CI 4.1 to 8.9). The overall satisfaction rate was 72%. The cost per quality-adjusted-life-year at 5 years, accounting for a 3% per year revision rate, was £3,714.

The BioPro offers good short to mid-term functional outcome and is a cost effective intervention. The relative high revision rate is associated with younger age and the use of this implant may be limited to older patients.

The aim of this study was to document the outcome following either early or delayed fixation for complex (AO-OTA type 43.C) fractures of the tibial plafond. From our trauma database we identified all patients who sustained a complex intra-articular fracture of the distal tibia over an 11-year period. Demographic data, fracture classification, management, complications and subsequent surgeries were recorded. The primary outcome measure was the development of early complications following surgery. The secondary outcome measure was the long-term patient reported outcome.

There were 102 type C pilon fractures in 99 patients with a mean age of 42yrs (16–86) and 75.5% (n=77) were male. 73 (71.6%) patients underwent primary open reduction internal fixation (ORIF), with 20 (19.6%) undergoing primary external fixation with delayed ORIF. 34 complications were recorded in 28 (27.5%) patients. There were 18 (17.6%) infections, with a deep wound infection in 9 (8.8%) patients and a superficial wound infection in 9 (8.8%). Risk factors for developing infection were multiple co-morbidities (p=0.008), an open fracture (p=0.008), and primary external fixation with delayed ORIF (p=0.023). At a mean of 6 years (0.3–13; n=53) post injury the mean FAOS score was 76.2 (0–100), the mean FADI score was 75.7 (0–100), and 72% (n=38) of patients were satisfied.

This is the largest series in the literature documenting the outcome following fixation for type C tibial pilon fractures. Despite the severity of these injuries, we have demonstrated a satisfactory outcome using primary early fixation in the vast majority of cases.

An increasing number of distal humeral fractures are presenting as fragility fractures in low demand elderly patients. The optimal management of these injuries remains controversial. The primary aim of this study was to document the short and long term outcomes of these fractures treated with primary nonsurgical intervention. All patients were identified from a prospective trauma database from 1995 to 2010. All conservatively managed, isolated fractures of the distal humerus (OTA Type A,B,C) were included. Prospective long term follow up was collected by telephone interview. Demographic data, fracture classification, management protocol, subsequent surgeries, complications, range of motion, function and patient reported outcomes were recorded. The primary short-term outcome measure was the Broberg and Morrey Elbow Score. The primary long-term outcome measure was the DASH score.

Sixty-two patients were included. Mean age 76 (range, 11–96). Low-energy injuries were seen in 97% (59/61) of patients and ≥1 co-morbidities in 50% (27/54). At a mean of 3.7 months (range, 1–14) mean Broberg and Morrey score was 86 (range, 52–100); 70% (28/40) achieving excellent or good short-term outcome. Long-term follow-up was available in 17% (n=11) patients, with 75% (48/64) deceased. At a mean of 7 years (range, 4–17) mean DASH was 23.6 (range, 0.8–45.8), mean Oxford Elbow Score was 42 (range, 32–48). Overall patient satisfaction was 100% (n=11). One patient subsequently underwent open reduction internal fixation for malunion. We have reported satisfactory short-term and longer-term outcomes following the nonsurgical management of isolated distal humerus fractures in older lower demand patients.

The primary aim of this study was to identify risk factors for developing neuritis and its impact on outcome following open reduction internal fixation (ORIF) of distal humerus fractures.

Patients were identified from a prospective trauma database (1995–2010). All fractures of the distal humerus (OA-OTA Type A, B, C) managed with ORIF were included. Prospective long-term follow up was collected by telephone. Demographic data, fracture classification, intraoperative details (time to surgery, tourniquet, approach, fixation technique, nerve transposition), subsequent surgeries, presence of postoperative nerve palsy, complications and range of motion were collected. The Broberg and Morrey Elbow Score and DASH score were used as functional outcome measures.

Eighty-two patients, mean age 50(range, 13–93) were included. 16% (13/82) developed post-operative ulnar neuritis, 7% (6/82) radial neuritis and 5% (4/82) longterm nonspecific dysaesthesia. Short-term (mean 10 months, range 1–120, collected in 82 patients) and long-term (mean 6 years, range 4–18, collected in 45%, 34/75, of living patients) was completed. In patients with nerve complication: average Broberg and Morrey score was 86 (76% good/excellent), average DASH was 24.7(range, 3.3–100) and Oxford Elbow Score was 39.5(range, 18–48). Compared to: 94 (96% good/excellent), 17.7(range, 0–73.3) and 43.8(range, 17–48) in patients without. Mean pain score was 3.7 in patients with nerve complication compared to 2 without. Nerve complications were seen with increased frequency in young, male patients with high energy and Type C injuries.

Nerve complication following ORIF of distal humerus fractures is relatively common. They have detrimental impact on functional outcome. Certain groups appear to be at increased risk.

Aim:

Our aim was to report the rate and risk factors for post-operative complications in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD) patients undergoing spinal arthrodesis for scoliosis, with a comparison to neuromuscular scoliosis of other aetiology.

The aim of this study was to report the outcome of radial head replacement for complex fractures of the radial head, and determine any risk factors for prosthesis removal or revision. We identified 119 patients who were managed acutely using primary radial head replacement for an unstable fracture of the radial head over a 15-year period. Demographic data, fracture classification, management, complications and subsequent surgeries were recorded following retrospective clinical record review.

There were 105 (88%) patients with a mean age of 50 yrs (16–93) and 54% (n=57) were female. There were 95 (91%) radial head fractures and 96% were a Mason type 3 or 4 injury. There were 98 associated injuries in 70 patients (67%), with an associated coronoid fracture (n=29, 28%) most frequent. All implants were uncemented monopolar prostheses, with 86% metallic and 14% silastic. At a mean short-term follow-up of 1 year (range, 0.1–5.5; n=87) the mean Broberg and Morrey score was 80 (range, 40–99), with 49.5% achieving an excellent or good outcome. At a final mean review of 6.7 yrs (1.8–17.8), 29 (27%) patients had undergone revision (n=3) or removal (n=26) of the prosthesis. Independent risk factors of prosthesis removal or revision were silastic implant type (p=0.010) and younger age (p=0.015).

This is the largest series in the literature documenting the outcome following radial head replacement for complex fractures of the radial head. We have demonstrated a high rate of removal or revision for all implants, with younger patients and silastic implants independent risk factors.

The aim of this study was to document both the short and long term outcome of isolated displaced olecranon fractures treated with primary non-operative intervention. We identified from our prospective trauma database all patients who were managed non-operatively for a displaced olecranon fracture over a 13-year period. Inclusion criteria included all isolated fractures of the olecranon with >2 mm displacement of the articular surface. Demographic data, fracture classification, management, complications and subsequent surgeries were recorded. The primary short-term outcome measure was the Broberg and Morrey Elbow score. The primary long-term outcome measure was the DASH score.

There were 43 patients in the study cohort with a mean age of 76 yrs (40–98). A low energy fall from standing height accounted for 84% of all injuries, with ≥1 co-morbidities documented in 38 (88%) patients. At a mean of 4 months (range, 1.5–10) following injury the mean Broberg and Morrey score was 83 (48–100), with 72% achieving an excellent or good short-term outcome. Long-term follow-up was available in 53% (n=21) patients, with the remainder deceased. At a mean of six years (2–15) post injury, the mean DASH score was 2.9 (0–33.9), the mean Oxford Elbow Score was 47 (42–48) and overall patient satisfaction was 91% (n=21).

We have reported satisfactory short-term and longer-term outcomes following the non-operative management of isolated displaced olecranon fractures in older lower demand patients. Further work is needed to directly compare operative and non-operative management in this patient group.

The relationship between advancing patient age, decreasing bone mineral density and increasing distal radial fracture incidence is well established. Biomechanical and clinical work has shown that the radiographic severity of distal radial fractures is greater in patients with poor bone quality. Between 1991 and 2007, the number of elderly Scots (aged 75 years or more) increased by 18%, and population projections predict a further 82% increase by 2035. This study was conducted to investigate the effect of recent changes in the demographics of our population on the pattern and radiographic severity of distal radial fractures encountered at our institution.

The epidemiology of two distinct series of patients (1991–93; 2007–08) suffering distal radial fractures was compared. The patient and radiographic fracture characteristics known to be predictive of fracture instability and severity were compared using the MacKenney formulae, and a subgroup analysis of distal radial fragility fractures was performed.

The life expectancy of our catchment population has improved since 1991, and we have encountered a larger number of distal radial fractures occurring in older, more active and functionally independent patients. We identified an increase in the proportion of AO type B fractures, particularly in the oldest patient groups. The radiographic severity of distal radial fractures, especially low energy metaphyseal injuries, has increased.

If the current trend in population demographics continues, it seems likely that orthopaedic surgeons will encounter an increasing number of severe distal radial fractures deemed unsuitable for treatment by closed methods.

The aim of this study was to document our experience of acute forearm compartment syndrome, and to determine the risk factors for requiring split skin grafting (SSG) and developing complications post fasciotomy. We identified from our trauma database all patients who underwent fasciotomy for an acute forearm compartment syndrome over a 22-year period. Diagnosis was made using clinical signs and/or compartment pressure monitoring. Demographic data, aetiology, management, wound closure, complications and subsequent surgeries were recorded. Outcome measures were the use of SSG and the development of complications following forearm fasciotomy.

90 patients were identified with a mean age of 33 yrs (range, 13–81 yrs) and a significant male predominance (n=82, p<0.001). A fracture of one or both of the forearm bones was seen in 62 (69%) patients, with soft tissue injuries causative in 28 (31%). The median time to fasciotomy was 12hrs (2–72). Delayed wound closure was achieved in 38 (42%) patients, with 52 (58%) undergoing SSG. Risk factors for requiring a SSG were younger age and a crush injury (both p<0.05). Complications occurred in 29 (32%) patients at mean follow-up of 11 (3–60) months. Risk factors for developing complications were a delay in fasciotomy of >6 hrs (p=0.018), with pre-operative motor symptoms approaching significance (p=0.068).

Forearm compartment syndrome requiring fasciotomy predominantly affects males and can occur following either a fracture or soft tissue injury. Age is an important predictor of undergoing SSG for wound closure. Complications occur in a third of patients and are associated with an increasing delay in the time to fasciotomy.

Introduction

This study investigates the epidemiology of proximal radial fractures and potential links to social deprivation.

Introduction

The association of occupation and carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS) is unclear. Population based studies have failed to prove causal relationships between certain types of work and the onset of CTS. The aim of this study was to compare the incidence of CTS with the underlying regional occupational profile and assess differences in disease severity.

The purpose of this prospective study was to determine the predictive factors and hence optimal management of closed uncomplicated proximal radial fractures. We examined all patients presenting to our unit over an 18-month period with isolated closed proximal radial fractures. 237 consecutive patients were included. Demographic data, physical examination, radiographs, treatment and complications were recorded. Patients were reviewed at 2, 6, 12, 26 and 52 weeks post injury. Outcome was determined via functional assessment and Mayo Elbow Score (MES). Data were analysed using SPSS.

There were 156 (66%) radial head fractures and 81 (34%) radial neck fractures. 225 (95%) patients were treated non-operatively in a collar and cuff for one week followed by physiotherapy. 12 (5%) patients required primary surgical intervention due to either a mechanical block to forearm rotation (n=4) or a significant degree of radiographic comminution and/or displacement (n=8). Of the 201 patients who attended follow-up, 183 (91%) patients achieved excellent or good functional results measured on the MES. 155 (78%) patients achieved this by six weeks, with an average flexion arc of 125 degrees. Of the 12 patients treated operatively, the average MES at six weeks was fair (60). Regression analysis showed that increasing age, the AO-OTA fracture classification (B2.3, C2.3), radiographic displacement and operative treatment were significant predictors of a fair or poor outcome at six weeks.

The majority of isolated proximal radial fractures can be treated non-operatively with early mobilization, achieving excellent or good results within 6 weeks. Age, fracture classification, radiographic displacement and treatment choice are important factors that determine speed of recovery.