We report a prospective study of the incidence of fractures in the adult population of Edinburgh, related to age and gender. Over a two-year period, 15 293 adults, 7428 males and 7865 females, sustained a fracture, and 5208 (34.0%) required admission.

Between 15 and 49 years of age, males were 2.9 times more likely to sustain a fracture than females (95% CI 2.7 to 3.1). Over the age of 60 years, females were 2.3 times more likely to sustain a fracture than males (95% CI 2.1 to 2.4). There were three main peaks of fracture distribution: the first was in young adult males, the second was in elderly patients of both genders, mainly in metaphyseal bone such as the proximal femur, although diaphyseal fractures also showed an increase in incidence. The third increase in the incidence of fractures, especially of the wrist, was seen to start at 40 years of age in women.

Our study has also shown that ‘osteoporotic’ fractures became evident in women earlier than expected, and that they were not entirely a postmenopausal phenomenon.

We reviewed 1567 elective knee replacements performed between 1980 and 1990, using either the Total Condylar prosthesis with an all-plastic tibial component, or the Kinematic prosthesis which has a metal tibial tray. The ten-year probability of survival was 92.1% for the Total Condylar design and 87.9% for the Kinematic. The difference was mainly due to 16 revisions required in the Kinematic series for fracture of the metal base-plate. This was the most common cause of aseptic failure in this group.

These fractures were strongly associated with a preoperative varus deformity (hazard ratio (HR) 8.8) and there was a slightly increased risk in males (HR 1.9) and in osteoarthritic knees (HR 1.8). In the nine fractures which occurred within four years of primary implantation (group 1), failure to correct adequately a preoperative varus deformity and the use of a bone graft to correct such a deformity were both strongly associated with fracture (HR 13.9 and 15.8, respectively). In eight fractures which occurred more than five years after primary replacement (group 2) we could detect no significant risk factors.

Early complications occurred in two patients after the 16 revision procedures for tray fracture. One had a deep infection and the other refracture of the tray.