DO ROBOTIC OR NAVIGATED TOTAL KNEE ARTHROPLASTY SYSTEMS REDUCE REVISION RATES ENOUGH TO REDUCE OVERALL COSTS?

Abstract

Robotic and navigated TKA procedures have been introduced to improve component placement precision for the purpose of improving implant survivorship and other clinical outcomes. Although numerous studies have shown enhanced precision in placing components, adoption of technology-assistance (TA) for TKA has been relatively slow. One reason for this has been the difficulty in demonstrating the cost-effectiveness of implementing TA-TKA systems and assessing their impact on revision rates.

In this study, we aimed to use a simulation approach to answer the following questions: (1) Can we determine the distribution of likely reductions in TKA revision rates attributable to TA-TKA in an average US patient population? And, (2) What reduction in TKA revision rates are required to achieve economic neutrality?

In a previous study, we developed a method for creating large sets of simulated TKA patient populations with distributions of patient-specific factors (age at index surgery, sex, BMI) and one surgeon-controlled factor (coronal alignment) drawn from registry data and published literature. Effect sizes of each factor on implant survival was modeled using large clinical studies. For 10,000 simulated TKA patients, we simulated 20,000 TKA surgeries, evenly split between groups representing coronal alignment precisions reported for manual (±3°) and TA-TKA (±1.0°), calculating the patient-specific survival curve for each group. Extending our previous study, we incorporated the probability of each patient's expected survival into our model using publicly available actuarial data. This allowed us to calculate a patient-specific estimate of the Reduction in Lifetime Risk of Revision (RLRR) for each simulated patient. Our analysis showed that 90% of patients will achieve an RLRRof 1.5% or less in an average US TKA population.

We then conducted a simplified economic analysis with the goal of determining the net cost of using TA-TKA per case when factoring in future savings by TKA revision rates. We assumed an average cost of revision surgery to be $75,000 as reported by Delanois (2017) and an average added cost incurred by TA-TKA to be $6,000 per case as reported by Antonis (2019). We estimate the net cost per TA-TKA case (C_Net) to be the added cost per TA-TKA intervention (C_Int), less the cost of revision surgery (C_Rev) multiplied by the estimated RLRR: C_Net = C_Int - C_Rev∗RLRR. We find that, under these assumptions, use of TA-TKA increases expected costs for all patients with an RLRR of under 8%.

Based on these results, it appears that it would not be cost-effective to use TA-TKA on more than a small fraction of the typical US TKA patient population if the goal is to reduce overall costs through reducing revision risks. However, we note that this simulation does not consider other possible reported benefits of TA-TKA surgery, such as improved functional and pain outcome scores which may justify its use on other grounds. Alternative costs incurred by TA-TKA will be evaluated in a future study. To reach economic neutrality, TA-TKA systems either must reduce the added cost per intervention or increase RLRR by better addressing the root causes of revision.